Stadium: Arsenal (Tula)
Judge: Vitaly Meshkov
Losses
Arsenal: Evgeny Lutsenko (injury).
Team form
«Rostov» suffered a painful defeat in Europa League qualifying this week. In the third round of qualification, the yellow-blues merged Maccabi Haifa (1: 2), and Eldor Shomurodov scored the first goal in 208 days. It came out symbolically.
After the match, Valeria Karpin said that his team’s performance reflects the level of the Russian championship. After eight rounds of the Premier League, Rostov is seventh and only three points behind the leading Zenit.
«Arsenal» last round inflicted Sochi (3: 2) the first defeat of the season and crawled out of the play-off zone. Already this week, the «gunners» won their first victory in the Russian Cup: in a penalty shootout they put the squeeze on «Salut» in Belgorod – 2: 1, and Sergei Podpalyy gave playing practice to the reservists.
Outcome bet
However, in the upcoming meeting, bookmakers give preference to guests. The victory of «Rostov» goes for 2.59, draw – for 3.24, the success of Arsenal – for 3.01.
The Yellow-Blues have not lost in Tula in three matches in a row. Valery Karpin’s team won twice here. Another meeting ended in a draw. Donetsk team also won three of the last five face-to-face meetings. In two more games, the teams have not revealed a winner.
but I would take a chance and take Rostov’s victory. First, Valery Karpin’s team experienced a powerful emotional decline. There must be a rise now. The defeat at Maccabi was too painful. Secondly, this season the Donetsk team supply points to the tops, but take them away from the outsiders. On the road, they already beat Ufa and Tambov, and at home they beat Ural. Secondly, «gunners» are too unstable. They easily beat Dynamo (2: 0), but have no chance to drain Ufa (2: 3) or Spartak (1: 2). Also Evgeny Lutsenko – the main forward of the Gunners – is injured. There is Sergei Tkachev, but in the meeting with Sochi he scored the same amount as in the entire last season – two goals.
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Total bet
«Rostov» – the lowest team of the Russian championship. In all seven matches of the Donetsk side this season, they have scored fewer than three goals. Bookmakers are confident that the upcoming game will be grassroots. Total goes less for 1.60, more – for 2.49.
Also I would consider the option ITM1 (0.5) for 2.72. First, Arsenal have scored in only four of their eight games this season. Secondly, Rostov has only had holes in three out of eight games this season. Valery Karpin’s team conceded from the tops, but did not allow anything outsiders like Ufa, Tambov or Ural.
Handicap bet
Zero handicap «Rostov» goes for 1.81, Arsenal – for 2.10. However, I would give up handicap betting.
You can take Away (0) for 1.81, but the probability of a return is too high. The last time the Donetsk team won with a difference of two goals was last year (not the season). Therefore, I would advise against betting on handicaps.
Bet on the match «Arsenal» – «Rostov»
I would play cards in this meeting. First, Arsenal receive an average of three warnings per game at home. Secondly, Vitaly Meshkov distributes, on average, five mustard plasters per game. Third, the referee served Arsenal twice last season. If in the game with Sochi, he showed the Gunners only one yellow card, then in the second, with Ural, already four.
I will assume that now “gunners «will receive three yellow cards on duty. The team is playing too rough this season.
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